2012年5月12日星期六

Philippine flew the "handshake", the South China Sea will never "missed"

In Fei Nanhai tensions, the war has been ready to go. But if we think about it, if the Philippines is playing "hide and seek" game, a sudden change of stance soften the attitude of China is how to end is? The South China Sea to continue our policy of "shelving disputes and seeking common development"? Still resolutely safeguard national and territorial integrity of every inch of the patch of land not to? Originally, I just bold assumptions and careful verification. Did not think today really outgoing messages, have begun to soften the attitude of the Philippines - According to China news, Ms Tong Xiaoling, Chinese Ambassador to ASEAN, on the 10th confirmed to reporters that the Philippines has been restored diplomatic dialogue with the Chinese Embassy in the Philippines on the Huangyan Island event, she expressed the belief that this is one of the latest progress.

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According to GMA News Corp. in the Philippines on the 10th, the evening of the 9th, del Rosario, Philippine Foreign Secretary told the media that the Philippines has resumed diplomatic dialogue with China Huangyan Island incident. The report said the talks commence between Ma Keqing, Chinese Ambassador to the Philippines and the Philippine Department of State officials. China's Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei sure, the change in attitude of the Philippine side will pay close attention to the development of the situation and the Philippine side, the actual action. Ordinarily, the relaxation of the situation, of course, is a good thing, but to ease after it? Both a historical perspective, the fact remains, the Philippines is a credible country. More or a country rely on trees, sugar daddy. Dignity of the nation, the integrity of the country is a problem. Whether its tough or weak are not too credible, is a performance. The Chinese Bukebufang. After nothing less than the relaxation of the situation in accordance with the current situation, there are four possibilities:

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The first one is the Philippines recognize that Huangyan Island is Chinese territory, and take the initiative to withdraw from the Huangyan Island, it is probably also the Chinese side said the Philippine side of the "real action". However, we just take a look at the Huangyan Island, the Philippines has taken various actions, including the removal of China's sovereignty signs, they will take the initiative to withdraw? I assert, certainly not. The second is that the Chinese side to exit the Huangyan Island, the situation calm down, then sit down and talk about. However, if the Philippines does not take the initiative to retreat, according to China's international and domestic environment, will take the initiative to withdraw from you? I assert, certainly not.

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The third is in the Philippines back to the Huangyan Island incident, is still "shelving sovereignty, joint development". Is it possible? Huangyan Island, the Philippines have the dispute like a broken mirror, broken mirrors, not ends it. China and the Philippines continue to shelve the sovereignty, common development ", then the Huangyan Island event there is the significance of silk ho! China will never come to self-bondage, the problem becomes complex and down the so-called "joint development 'old path. The fourth is a Chinese exercise full sovereignty over the Huangyan Island. Neither dispute may be set aside, nor is there any possibility of joint exploration. My territory and sovereignty, how can the Philippines to jointly develop and use? I think, if in the Philippines once again shake hands, is no longer possible, the former three endings, and only one outcome, that is the fourth China has full possession of the Huangyan Island. Would not have with the Philippines come to complicate the issue of "shelving disputes and seeking common development"! Otherwise, not only the attribution of the Huangyan Island into the entire South China Sea will be truly missed "and then" fall "! I think that Huangyan Island dispute is of great significance in the maintenance of China's territory and sovereignty, it is the concentrated expression of the concept of methods and techniques for China to solve the whole problem of the South China Sea is a typical case of China to solve the South China Sea dispute as an extremely important reference value and symbolic significance.

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The author believes that Huangyan Island dispute solution concepts and methods, has quietly changed some of China's diplomatic strategy. Practice has proved that in the new international situation and international environment, "putting aside disputes and seeking common development", will neither solve the complex problems of the South China Sea, can not ease the tension surrounding the situation, not to safeguard China's national interests, the same "good neighbor" of Harmony's foreign policy can not unprincipled, otherwise good-neighborly and can not counter the bad neighborhoods. Maintain core national interests, the really important thing is to set up the bottom line, with dignity, advance and retreat of the evidence, guilty of I will punish!

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